Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1

Mar 30, 2024 at 5.15pm UK

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
2 - 3
Mechelen

Maziz (74'), Opoku (90+6')
Maziz (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cobbaut (5'), Foulon (52'), Konate (90+7')
Garananga (28'), Slimani (63'), Cobbaut (90'), Bafdili (90+9')
Slimani (80')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions

Last Game: Leuven 1-0 Mechelen
Sunday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mechelen

All competitions

Last Game: Leuven 1-0 Mechelen
Sunday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Mechelen
35.05% ( -0.11)	24.97% ( 0.02)	39.98% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

-0.09)

45.69% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

-0.08)

68.01% (

0.08)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.11)

25.37% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

-0.14)

60.16% (

0.14)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.01)

22.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

0.02)

56.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Leuven 35.05%

Mechelen 39.98%

Draw 24.96%

Leuven	Draw	Mechelen
2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.05%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.98%