Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.