OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
1 - 0
Sint-Truiden

Maziz (83')
Sagrado (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dumont (41'), Janssens (80')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Sint-Truiden.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Leuven 2-1 Gent
Sunday, April 14 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Sint-Truiden

All competitions
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 3-3 Standard Liege
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.

Result
LeuvenDrawSint-Truiden
38.33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)24.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)37.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)55.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Sint-Truiden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.013999999999996 0.01)22.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.020999999999994 0.02)56.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 38.33%
    Sint-Truiden 37.39%
    Draw 24.27%
LeuvenDrawSint-Truiden
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.39%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 17
Sint-Truiden
1-1
Leuven
Zahiroleslam (6')
Braut Brunes (18')
Shlomo (57'), Miguel (66')
Sagrado (31')
Oct 22, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 11
Leuven
4-0
Sint-Truiden
Nsingi (12'), Schrijvers (22' pen.), Mendyl (60', 79')
Schrijvers (62')

Van Helden (20'), Yamamoto (59'), Hashioka (70')
Jan 28, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 23
Leuven
1-1
Sint-Truiden
Dagur Thorsteinsson (53' pen.)
Hayashi (9')
Oct 22, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sint-Truiden
0-0
Leuven
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Sint-Truiden
2-0
Leuven
Hara (19'), Hayashi (90+4')
Hayashi (20'), Hara (49'), Leistner (53')

De Norre (5'), Patris (37'), Schrijvers (76')
Malinov (88')