KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 7
May 4, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Gent

Mechelen
2 - 4
Gent

Hairemans (19'), Slimani (32')
Walsh (31'), Foulon (41')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Fernandez Pardo (25'), Mitrovic (42'), Tissoudali (45+4'), Hjulsager (86')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Gent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mechelen 3-0 Leuven
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 3-2 Westerlo
Saturday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawGent
31.86% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)24.13% (0.050999999999998 0.05)44.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.62% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (-0.241 -0.24)42.7% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.89% (-0.241 -0.24)65.1% (0.239 0.24)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (-0.123 -0.12)25.84% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-0.167 -0.17)60.81% (0.166 0.17)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.116 -0.12)19.6% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.191 -0.19)51.54% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 31.86%
    Gent 44.01%
    Draw 24.12%
MechelenDrawGent
2-1 @ 7.56%
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.86%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 44.01%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Gent
3-1
Mechelen
Tissoudali (37'), Gandelman (65'), Hong (75')
Torunarigha (34')
Slimani (62')
Slimani (22')
Jan 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Gent
1-2
Mechelen
De Sart (60')
Kandouss (39'), Samoise (41')
Foulon (26'), Antonio (83')
Mrabti (31'), Foulon (50'), Cobbaut (63'), Van Hecke (90+5')
Aug 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Mechelen
0-1
Gent

Belghali (35'), Hairemans (90+1')
Lavalee (54' og.)
Cuypers (65'), Hjulsager (66'), Fortuna (85')
Apr 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Mechelen
1-1
Gent
Wouters (45')
Samoise (42')
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Gent
3-0
Mechelen
Samoise (36'), Fortuna (64'), Odjidja-Ofoe (72')
rhs 2.0


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