Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.