Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.