Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 55%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.