KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
OH Leuven

Mechelen
3 - 0
Leuven

Schoofs (47'), Bassette (58'), Mrabti (90+2' pen.)
Mrabti (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dagur Thorsteinsson (75')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-0 Mechelen
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 1-1 Leuven
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 55%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawLeuven
55% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)22.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.76% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.29% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (0.11 0.11)40.94% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (0.113 0.11)63.33% (-0.113 -0.11)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18% (0.010000000000005 0.01)14.82% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (0.019000000000005 0.02)43.11% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43% (0.13800000000001 0.14)31.57% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03% (0.16 0.16)67.96% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 55%
    Leuven 22.76%
    Draw 22.23%
MechelenDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 55%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 22.76%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Leuven
2-3
Mechelen
Maziz (74'), Opoku (90+6')
Maziz (90')
Cobbaut (5'), Foulon (52'), Konate (90+7')
Garananga (28'), Slimani (63'), Cobbaut (90'), Bafdili (90+9')
Slimani (80')
Mar 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Leuven
1-0
Mechelen
Nsingi (90+3')
Ricca (51'), Banzuzi (62'), Maziz (76'), Pletinckx (84')

Bates (79')
Sep 23, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 8
Mechelen
1-2
Leuven
Pflucke (46')
Vanlerberghe (6'), Walsh (13'), Lauberbach (49'), Storm (90+6'), Konate (90+3')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (2'), Maziz (45+7')
Schrijvers (57'), Maziz (72'), Mendyl (73')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Leuven
4-1
Mechelen
De Norre (4'), Opoku (39'), Maertens (56'), Al Tamari (60')
Hairemans (89')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Mechelen
0-0
Leuven