Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.53%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.