OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 3, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Genk

Leuven
3 - 1
Genk

Maziz (21'), Vlietinck (35'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (84')
Akimoto (21'), Banzuzi (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Arokodare (61')
Sory Bangoura (35'), Fadera (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Beerschot VA 0-0 Leuven
Saturday, July 27 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 0-0 Standard Liege
Sunday, July 28 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
LeuvenDrawGenk
34.94% (1.853 1.85)23.18% (0.026 0.03)41.88% (-1.878 -1.88)
Both teams to score 64.22% (0.509 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (0.42 0.42)37.14% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (0.452 0.45)59.34% (-0.45 -0.45)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (1.193 1.19)21.47% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (1.801 1.8)54.5% (-1.8 -1.8)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.604 -0.6)18.23% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (-1.036 -1.04)49.25% (1.036 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 34.94%
    Genk 41.88%
    Draw 23.17%
LeuvenDrawGenk
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.244 0.24)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.263 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 41.88%

How you voted: Leuven vs Genk

Leuven
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
Genk
66.7%
24
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 23
Leuven
2-1
Genk
Schrijvers (80' pen.), Pletinckx (90')
Schrijvers (45+3'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (47')
Ricca (54' og.)
Hrosovsky (22'), Paintsil (45+3'), Galarza (79'), Cuesta (82'), El Ouahdi (82')
Nov 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Genk
3-1
Leuven
Heynen (25', 90'), Munoz (90+5')
Baah (67'), Zeqiri (90+6')
Braut Brunes (85')
Miguel (10'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (56'), Opoku (80'), Schrijvers (89')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Genk
2-1
Leuven
Heynen (23'), Tresor Ndayishimiye (87')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (56' pen.)
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Leuven
0-1
Genk
Onuachu (16')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Leuven
2-1
Genk
Kaba (1', 90+3' pen.)
Keita (18'), Rezaei (90+6')
Mujaid (19')
Bongonda (60'), Cuesta (90'), Lucumi (90+1')
Heynen (14')