Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 7

May 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
3 - 1
Standard Liege

Maziz (47'), Nsingi (74'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (90+3')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yeboah (43')
Sahabo (22')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Standard Liege.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions

Last Game: Mechelen 3-0 Leuven
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Standard Liege

All competitions

Last Game: Standard Liege 1-1 Sint-Truiden
Saturday, April 27 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Standard Liege
38.86% ( 0.52)	24.67% ( 0.17)	36.47% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 58.93% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

-0.82)

44.13% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49% (

-0.81)

66.51% (

0.81)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

-0.1)

22.6% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

-0.15)

56.22% (

0.16)

Standard Liege Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

-0.74)

23.85% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

-1.07)

58.04% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Leuven 38.86%

Standard Liege 36.47%

Draw 24.67%

Leuven	Draw	Standard Liege
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.47%