Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.