Gent
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 18, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena
Westerlo

Gent
4 - 1
Westerlo

Gerkens (27'), Fernandez Pardo (29'), Gandelman (32'), Delorge (80')
Watanabe (61'), Gandelman (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sayyadmanesh (41')
Rommens (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Gent and Westerlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 3-2 Silkeborg
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Westerlo

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 4-3 Union SG
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
GentDrawWesterlo
65.35% (0.319 0.32)18.66% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)15.99% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.82% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4% (0.044000000000011 0.04)34.6% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)56.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (0.090000000000003 0.09)9.94% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.12% (0.203 0.2)32.88% (-0.201 -0.2)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (-0.23 -0.23)34.69% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (-0.244 -0.24)71.42% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Gent 65.35%
    Westerlo 15.99%
    Draw 18.66%
GentDrawWesterlo
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.032 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 65.35%
1-1 @ 8.43% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.66%
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 15.99%

How you voted: Gent vs Westerlo

Gent
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Westerlo
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2024
9.30am
Club Friendlies 3
Westerlo  
vs.
  Gent
Apr 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Gent
3-2
Westerlo
Gandelman (19'), Fernandez Pardo (21'), De Sart (64')
Mitrovic (74'), Torunarigha (84')
Stassin (1'), Madsen (34')
Haspolat (54'), Stassin (54'), Tagir (80')
Apr 7, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 2
Westerlo
0-3
Gent

Haidara (6'), Haspolat (27'), Rommens (61'), Stassin (84')
Gillekens (7'), Haidara (37'), (71')
Gandelman (22', 90+2'), Tissoudali (24')
De Sart (8'), Tissoudali (68')
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Gent
2-2
Westerlo
Gandelman (44', 90+7')
Brown (58'), De Sart (86')
Vermant (17'), Madsen (87' pen.)
Vermant (37'), Reynolds (45+2'), Neustadter (63'), Fixelles (68'), Haspolat (80'), Madsen (87'), Chadli (88')
Aug 13, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 3
Westerlo
1-3
Gent
Madsen (18' pen.)
Fixelles (67')
Watanabe (35'), Cuypers (60', 74')
De Sart (69')