Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 41%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.