Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Olympisch Stadion
Genk

Beerschot VA
3 - 4
Genk

Henderson (7'), Michez (62'), Tshimanga (88')
Weymans (39'), Michez (45+1'), Matijas (63')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Steuckers (15' pen.), Arokodare (30', 64'), Cuesta (40')
El Ouahdi (90+9')
Mujaid (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Beerschot Wilrijk and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beerschot Wilrijk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-1 Beerschot VA
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 3-2 Brugge
Sunday, August 11 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Beerschot WilrijkDrawGenk
34.39% (-1.648 -1.65)24.06% (0.249 0.25)41.54% (1.399 1.4)
Both teams to score 60.77% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-1.523 -1.52)41.58% (1.524 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-1.557 -1.56)63.98% (1.557 1.56)
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-1.592 -1.59)23.81% (1.59 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-2.338 -2.34)57.99% (2.339 2.34)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (-0.012 -0.01)52.55% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Beerschot Wilrijk 34.39%
    Genk 41.54%
    Draw 24.06%
Beerschot WilrijkDrawGenk
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.91% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.39%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.323 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.192 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.516 0.52)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.411 0.41)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.217 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.54%

How you voted: Beerschot VA vs Genk

Beerschot Wilrijk
7.7%
Draw
7.7%
Genk
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Genk
4-1
Beerschot VA
Hrosovsky (20'), Ito (32'), Bongonda (79' pen.), Nemeth (90+2')
Arteaga (65')
Noubissi (88')
Lemos (31'), Vaca (86')
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Beerschot VA
2-0
Genk
Shankland (4'), Caicedo (90+2')
Dom (62')

Thorstvedt (54')
Feb 21, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 27
Genk
1-2
Beerschot VA
Hrosovsky (90+3')
Bongonda (66'), Munoz (81')
Van den Bergh (65'), Holzhauser (82' pen.)
Radic (14'), Sanusi (58'), Pietermaat (89')
Sep 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Beerschot VA
5-2
Genk
Holzhauser (12', 63' pen.), Bourdin (49'), Vorogovskiy (85'), Noubissi (90')
Onuachu (19' pen.), Dessers (76' pen.)
Cuesta (58'), Lucumi (74')
Cuesta (59'), Bongonda (68')