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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 11, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion

Cercle Brugge
4 - 1
Beerschot VA

Goncalves (10'), Olaigbe (22'), Denkey (42'), Kader Ouattara (89')
Olaigbe (45'), Nunes Barbosa dos Santos (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Michez (25')
Reyners (66'), Konstantopoulos (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Cercle Brugge and Beerschot Wilrijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 3-1 Beerschot VA
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Beerschot Wilrijk

Despite a tough start to the 2024-25 season, Cercle Brugge's home advantage and stronger squad suggest they are likely to win this game against newly promoted Beerschot VA. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result
Cercle BruggeDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
51.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.53% (0.109 0.11) 26.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 61.53% (-0.517 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (-0.631 -0.63)38.55% (0.631 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.15% (-0.669 -0.67)60.84% (0.669 0.67)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.69% (-0.22 -0.22)15.31% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.95% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)44.04% (0.419 0.42)
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)27.34% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-0.547 -0.55)62.8% (0.547 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Cercle Brugge 51.01%
    Beerschot Wilrijk 26.46%
    Draw 22.52%
Cercle BruggeDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.46%

How you voted: Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA

Cercle Brugge
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Beerschot Wilrijk
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Cercle Brugge
2-0
Beerschot VA
Denkey (27'), Matondo (45+1')
Lopes (88')

De Smet (23'), Van den Bergh (88')
Noubissi (29')
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Apr 4, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 32
Cercle Brugge
2-1
Beerschot VA
Biancone (18'), Ugbo (34' pen.)
Lopes (44'), Biancone (49'), Ugbo (73')
Velkovski (38')
Van den Bergh (50')
Sanusi (33')
Jan 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Beerschot VA
1-1
Cercle Brugge
Suzuki (22')
Vorogovskiy (14'), Sanusi (89')
Musaba (89')
Hazard (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk107122113822
2Royal AntwerpAntwerp106132171419
3GentGent105231810817
4Anderlecht10451138517
5Club BruggeBrugge104331612415
6Westerlo104332018215
7Dender104331415-115
8MechelenMechelen104241814414
9Union SGUnion SG10352118314
10CharleroiCharleroi104241210214
11Standard Liege1033458-312
12Sint-Truiden102531318-511
13Leuven102531015-511
14KortrijkKortrijk10325816-811
15Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge102261120-98
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA10028827-192


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