Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.