Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
4 - 0
Estoril

Loader (19'), Pepe (28'), Galeno (77', 87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alvaro (36'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
76.33% ( -0.51)	15.07% ( 0.23)	8.6% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

-0.07)

37.35% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.43% (

-0.07)

59.57% (

0.07)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.87% (

-0.13)

8.13% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.46% (

-0.32)

28.53% (

0.32)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39% (

0.62)

48.61% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

0.44)

83.68% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Porto 76.32%

Estoril Praia 8.6%

Draw 15.07%

Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.32%	1-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.07%	0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 8.6%