Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 26, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
4 - 1
Arouca

Marques (30'), Pina (42'), Alvaro (64'), Holsgrove (90')
Garcia (21'), Amaral (40'), Robles (76'), Michel (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Araujo (24')
Esgaio (36'), N'Diaye (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maria da Fonte 0-5 Arouca
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Arouca
23.18% ( -0.13)	23.13% ( 0.07)	53.7% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-0.45)

44.49% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

-0.44)

66.86% (

0.45)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

-0.36)

33.16% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

-0.41)

69.77% (

0.41)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.14)

16.51% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-0.26)

46.26% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 23.18%

Arouca 53.7%

Draw 23.12%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.18%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.7%