Moreirense
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Porto

Moreirense
2 - 1
Porto

Nlavo (41'), Alan (77' pen.)
Nlavo (10'), Madson (43'), Alan (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pepe (35')
Djalo (14'), Perez (74'), Fernandes (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca de Portugal clash between Moreirense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Moreirense 3-2 Gil Vicente
Friday, November 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Porto
Sunday, November 10 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.11%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawPorto
13.55% (-1.478 -1.48)21.35% (-0.549 -0.55)65.09% (2.03 2.03)
Both teams to score 43.61% (-1.957 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.645 -0.64)51.6% (0.647 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.564 -0.56)73.39% (0.565 0.56)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (-2.589 -2.59)48.61% (2.592 2.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.33% (-1.937 -1.94)83.67% (1.939 1.94)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (0.446 0.45)15.13% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (0.832 0.83)43.71% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 13.55%
    Porto 65.09%
    Draw 21.35%
MoreirenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.31% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-1 @ 3.62% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-0 @ 1.91% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 13.55%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 13.89% (0.57 0.57)
0-2 @ 13.11% (0.72 0.72)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 8.25% (0.574 0.57)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.9% (0.327 0.33)
1-4 @ 2.81% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.144 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 65.09%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Porto

Moreirense
8.0%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
92.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2024 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Porto
2-0
Moreirense
Buta (34' og.), Eustaquio (61')
Franco (27')

Martins (14'), Tavares (58'), Alan (61')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Porto
5-0
Moreirense
Wendell (8', 72'), Evanilson (60'), Galeno (69'), Varela (83')

Ramos (34'), Pinto (45'), Aparicio (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 1
Moreirense
1-2
Porto
Frimpong (51')
Manuel Barroso Valtelhas de Aguiar (0'), Ofori (62'), Pinto (76'), Silva (90+5'), Franco (90+8')
Martinez (67'), Wendell (74')
Mario (22'), Galeno (68'), Martinez (72'), Wendell (78'), Otavio (90+8'), Gonzalez (90+5')
Wendell (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Moreirense
0-1
Porto

Jorge (3'), Camara (4'), Silva (12'), Rosic (45+2'), Luis (68'), Vitoria (84'), Galego (90+3')
Vitoria (84')
Evanilson (40')
Uribe (34'), Cardoso (64'), Grujic (71')
Grujic (79')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
5-0
Moreirense
Taremi (34' pen., 71'), Diaz (51', 65'), Pepe (77')
Wendell (52'), Mario (80')

Camara (10'), Paulinho (32'), Silva (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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