Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Porto

Romagnoli (45+5'), Pedro (90+2')
Gigot (4'), Zaccagni (28'), Guendouzi (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Eustaquio (66')
Loader (15'), Omorodion (30'), Perez (39'), Djalo (45+1'), Gul (81'), Pepe (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Porto
36.35% ( -0.12)	27.22% ( -0.01)	36.42% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.74% (

0.06)

55.26% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

0.05)

76.48% (

-0.05)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

-0.04)

29.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9% (

-0.05)

65.1% (

0.05)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

0.12)

29.12% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

0.14)

65.05% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Lazio 36.35%

Porto 36.41%

Draw 27.22%

Lazio	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.35%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.41%