Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari

Dia (2'), Zaccagni (76' pen.)
Noslin (25'), Lazzari (61'), Rovella (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Luvumbo (41')
Adopo (9'), Augello (17'), Mina (29'), Zappa (49'), Luvumbo (64'), Luperto (74')
Adopo (78'), Mina (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Como 1-5 Lazio
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Cagliari
62.85% ( 0.27)	21.9% ( -0.03)	15.24% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

-0.27)

50.6% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49% (

-0.23)

72.51% (

0.23)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

-0)

15.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.55% (

-0)

44.44% (

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.49% (

-0.48)

45.51% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.66% (

-0.38)

81.33% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Lazio 62.85%

Cagliari 15.24%

Draw 21.9%

Lazio	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.85%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.9%	0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.24%