/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Matthias Braunoder
45'+2'
-
Luca Mazzitelli
53'
-
Matthias Braunoder
62'
-
Valentin Castellanos
28'
-
Pedro
31'
-
Valentin Castellanos
35'
-
Matias Vecino
45'
-
Nuno Tavares
57'
-
Gustav Isaksen
63'
-
Nuno Tavares
65'
-
Patric
72'
-
Valentin Castellanos
81'
-
Loum Tchaouna
90'+5'
Como vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fmatteo-guendouzi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Como
34.58%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
27.27%
▲
(+0.13)
Lazio
38.14%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
49.93%
▼
(-0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.45%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 2.5
55.55%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 3.5
23.28%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
76.72%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
10.28%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
89.72%
▲
(+0.24)
Como Goals
Over 0.5
69.59%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
30.41%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
33.39%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
66.62%
▲
(+0.12)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
71.76%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 0.5
28.24%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 1.5
36.05%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
63.95%
▲
(+0.54)
Score analysis
Como
34.58%
Draw
27.27%
Lazio
38.14%
Como
1-0
@
10.22%
▲
(+0.17)
2-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.58%
2-1 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.58%
Draw
1-1
@
12.92%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.27%
0-0 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.27%
Lazio
0-1
@
10.86%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.14%
1-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.14%