Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 5
Lazio

Mazzitelli (53')
Braunoder (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Castellanos (28' pen., 81'), Pedro (31'), Patric (72'), Tchaouna (90+5')
Castellanos (35'), Vecino (45'), Tavares (57'), Isaksen (63')
Tavares (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Como and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Como
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Lazio
34.58% ( 0.22)	27.27% ( 0.13)	38.14% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

-0.47)

55.55% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

-0.39)

76.72% (

0.39)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59% (

-0.1)

30.41% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39% (

-0.12)

66.62% (

0.11)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

-0.42)

28.24% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

-0.54)

63.95% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Como 34.58%

Lazio 38.14%

Draw 27.27%

Como	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.58%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.14%