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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Cagliari logo

Udinese
2 - 0
Cagliari

Lucca (38'), Davis (78')
Lucca (64'), Toure (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Makoumbou (5'), Azzi (80')
Makoumbou (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Torino
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawCagliari
46.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.01% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)28.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.24% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)20.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.08% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 46.39%
    Cagliari 28.6%
    Draw 25%
UdineseDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Udinese vs Cagliari

Udinese
73.1%
Draw
15.7%
Cagliari
11.1%
108
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Udinese
1-1
Cagliari
Zemura (14')
Lucca (20'), Gianetti (54'), Ferreira (77')
Gaetano (44')
Dossena (33'), Augello (38')
Nov 1, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Udinese
1-2
Cagliari
Guessand (63')
Guessand (79'), Quina (90+4'), Ferreira (108')
Viola (80'), Lapadula (120')
Pereiro (76'), Wieteska (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 4
Cagliari
0-0
Udinese
Wieteska (59')
Wieteska (90+5')
Thauvin (63')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Udinese
5-1
Cagliari
Becao (38'), Beto (45', 49', 73'), Molina (59')
Walace (42'), Pereyra (61')
Pedro (32')
Henrique (20'), Grassi (35'), Baselli (59')
Grassi (82')
Dec 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-4
Udinese

Marin (40'), Henrique (43'), Bellanova (71')
Marin (66')
Makengo (4'), Deulofeu (45', 69'), Molina (50')
Deulofeu (70'), Becao (84')
rhs 2.0


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