Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Samuel Chukwueze 13' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 29' redcard
  • Filippo Terracciano 49' yellowcard
  • Mike Maignan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaka Bijol 43'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 83'
  • yellowcard Hassane Kamara 89'

AC Milan vs Udinese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 7.45pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Udinese

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 2.00pm
Udinese 1 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lorenzo Lucca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 64.5% (-2.43)
Draw 19.41% (+0.63)
Udinese 16.09% (+1.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.23% (+2.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.96% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 38.04% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 39.69% (+0.91)
Under 3.5 60.3% (-0.91)
Over 4.5 21.89% (+0.73)
Under 4.5 78.1% (-0.73)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.87% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 11.13% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 64.44% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 35.56% (+0.85)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5 63.27% (+2.89)
Under 0.5 36.72% (-2.89)
Over 1.5 26.49% (+2.78)
Under 1.5 73.51% (-2.78)

Score analysis

AC Milan 64.5%
Draw 19.41%
Udinese 16.09%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.74)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.53)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.67)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.44)
3-2 @ 3.62% (+0.25)
4-2 @ 1.99% (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.23)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 64.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.41)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.41%
Udinese
1-2 @ 4.5% (+0.43)
0-1 @ 4.09% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 2.05% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.5% (+0.25)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 16.09%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Dacia Arena
  • Lazar Samardzic 42' goal
  • Hassane Kamara 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Festy Ebosele 52' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 55' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 62' goal
  • Walace 65' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Lucca 71' yellowcard
  • Joao Ferreira 78' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 31'
  • goal Luka Jovic 83'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 88'
  • goal Noah Okafor 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rade Krunic 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Kabasele 55'
  • goal Roberto Pereyra 62'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Dacia Arena
  • Roberto Pereyra 9' goal
  • Beto 45'+6' goal
  • Kingsley Ehizibue 70' goal
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 45'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 11' goal
  • Ante Rebic 15' goal
  • Rade Krunic 34' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 46' goal
  • Ante Rebic 68' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Becao 2'
  • yellowcard Brandon Soppy 9'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Becao 34'
  • goal Adam Masina 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 55'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 29' goal
  • Ante Rebic 68' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 17'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Becao 49'
  • goal Destiny Udogie 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 73'
  • yellowcard Isaac Success 77'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Beto 17' goal
  • Nehuen Perez 25' yellowcard
  • Gerard Deulofeu 55' yellowcard
  • Isaac Success 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 87'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'+5'