Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 19, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 0
Udinese

Chukwueze (13')
Terracciano (49'), Maignan (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bijol (43'), Lucca (83'), Kamara (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
64.5% ( -2.42)	19.41% ( 0.63)	16.09% ( 1.8)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

2.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.96% (

0.86)

38.04% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.69% (

0.91)

60.3% (

-0.91)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.87% (

-0.38)

11.13% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.44% (

-0.84)

35.56% (

0.84)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.27% (

2.88)

36.72% (

-2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

2.78)

73.51% (

-2.78)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 64.5%

Udinese 16.09%

Draw 19.41%

AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.73) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.66) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.37% Total : 64.5%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.29% Total : 16.09%