Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
AC Milan

Adli (35'), Gudmundsson (73')
Dodo (8'), Bove (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pulisic (60')
Tomori (24'), Fonseca (32'), Morata (43'), Reijnders (72')
Hernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 New Saints
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
59.11% ( 0.43)	21.05% ( -0.08)	19.84% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.72% (

-0.16)

39.28% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.38% (

-0.17)

61.62% (

0.17)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

0.07)

13% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.48% (

0.15)

39.51% (

-0.15)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.44)

33.35% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.49)

69.97% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 59.11%

AC Milan 19.84%

Draw 21.05%

Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.11%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.05%	1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.84%