Serie A Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
Oct 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Dodo 8' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 35' goal
  • Albert Gudmundsson 73' goal
  • Raffaele Palladino 86' redcard
  • Edoardo Bove 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 24'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 32'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 43'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 60'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 72'
  • redcard Theo Hernandez 90'+6'

Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 5.00pm
Empoli 0 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result

Fiorentina 59.11% ▲ (+0.43)
Draw 21.05% ▼ (-0.08)
AC Milan 19.84% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.72% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 39.28% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 38.38% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 61.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 4.5 20.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79.14% ▲ (+0.14)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 87% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 13% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 60.48% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.16)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 66.65% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 0.5 33.35% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 1.5 30.03% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 69.97% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 59.11%
Draw 21.05%
AC Milan 19.84%
Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 59.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.05%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 19.84%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Cristiano Biraghi 13' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 50' goal
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 21'
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 47'
  • goal Rafael Leao 53'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 13
AC Milan
Nov 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Theo Hernandez 45'+2' goal
  • Fikayo Tomori 56' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 12'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 45'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
AC Milan
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 49' goal
  • Luka Jovic 87' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 15
AC Milan
Nov 13, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 2' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Antonin Barak 28'
Serie A Gameweek 35
AC Milan
May 1, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Rafael Leao 82' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 2'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 72'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Fiorentina
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Alfred Duncan 15' goal
  • Riccardo Saponara 45'+1' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 60' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 85' goal
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 62'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 67'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+5'
  • goal Lorenzo Venuti 90'+6' (OG)

Form Data

Fiorentina 2 - 0 New Saints
Empoli 0 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Lazio
Atalanta 3 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Monza
Puskas Academy 1 - 1 Fiorentina
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Inter Milan 1 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 3 Liverpool
AC Milan 4 - 0 Venezia
Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan