Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Morata (38'), Hernandez (41'), Pulisic (43')
Emerson (49')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Baschirotto (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Sassuolo
Tuesday, September 24 at 3pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lecce
62.42% ( -0.3)	20.49% ( 0.06)	17.09% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

0.17)

41.2% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4% (

0.18)

63.6% (

-0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.03)

12.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.21% (

-0.07)

38.78% (

0.06)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

0.39)

37.46% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.76% (

0.39)

74.24% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 62.41%

Lecce 17.09%

Draw 20.49%

AC Milan	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 62.41%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.49%	1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.09%