Lecce logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Sassuolo

FT(HT: 0-1)
Muharemovic (13'), D'Andrea (79')
Volpato (19'), Doig (54'), Lipani (64'), Grosso (68'), D'Andrea (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 Parma
Saturday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cosenza 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
33.27% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.25% (0.032 0.03)40.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (-0.105 -0.11)51.64% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)73.43% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)65.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)25.14% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)59.84% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 33.27%
    Sassuolo 40.46%
    Draw 26.25%
LecceDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.46%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
44.6%
Draw
9.5%
Sassuolo
45.9%
74
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