Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Sassuolo
34.08% ( -1.21)	28.68% ( 0.33)	37.23% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.21% (

-1.25)

60.79% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.16% (

-0.95)

80.83% (

0.94)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

-1.44)

33.42% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

-1.61)

70.05% (

1.61)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

-0.08)

31.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

-0.09)

67.73% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 34.07%

Sassuolo 37.23%

Draw 28.68%

Carrarese	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.68%	0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.23%