Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Cremonese
36.68% ( 0.16)	27.25% ( 0.04)	36.07% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 50.11% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62% (

-0.17)

55.38% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42% (

-0.14)

76.58% (

0.14)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

0.02)

29.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

0.02)

64.93% (

-0.02)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

-0.21)

29.4% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

-0.25)

65.39% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 36.68%

Cremonese 36.06%

Draw 27.25%

Sassuolo	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.68%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.06%