Serie B | 2nd Leg

Jun 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
1 - 0
Cremonese

(Venezia win 1-0 on aggregate)

Gytkjaer (24')
Vazquez (28'), Idzes (58'), Candela (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sverko (28'), Sernicola (79'), Pickel (84'), Ravanelli (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie B playoff final between Venezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Venezia
Thursday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Venezia
Thursday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Venezia.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Cremonese
39.69% ( -0.05)	25.62% ( 0.11)	34.69% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.34% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33% (

-0.52)

48.67% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

-0.47)

70.78% (

0.47)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-0.26)

24.2% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

-0.37)

58.54% (

0.36)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.29)

26.99% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-0.38)

62.34% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Venezia 39.69%

Cremonese 34.69%

Draw 25.61%

Venezia	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.69%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.69%