Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Sassuolo
36.3% ( 0.01)	24.96% ( -0.04)	38.73% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

0.17)

45.52% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

0.17)

67.85% (

-0.17)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

0.09)

24.58% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92% (

0.12)

59.07% (

-0.12)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

0.09)

23.29% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77% (

0.13)

57.22% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 36.3%

Sassuolo 38.73%

Draw 24.96%

Catanzaro	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.3%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.73%