Cremonese
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadio Pineta
Lumezzane

Cremonese
1 - 0
Lumezzane

Johnsen (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Cremonese and Lumezzane.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cremonese 3-2 Trento
Wednesday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Lumezzane

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lumezzane 1-1 Brescia
Saturday, July 27 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Lumezzane had a probability of 10.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Lumezzane win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawLumezzane
72.59% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)16.97% (0.09 0.09)10.43% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (-0.208 -0.21)40.48% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (-0.214 -0.21)62.86% (0.211 0.21)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)9.76% (0.092099999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.52% (-0.21799999999999 -0.22)32.47% (0.217 0.22)
Lumezzane Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)46.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)82.43% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 72.58%
    Lumezzane 10.43%
    Draw 16.97%
CremoneseDrawLumezzane
2-0 @ 12.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.62% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 72.58%
1-1 @ 8.06% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 16.97%
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.05% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 10.43%

rhs 2.0


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