Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Carrarese
61.57% ( 0.01)	22.59%	15.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.78% (

-0.01)

52.22% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08% (

-0)

73.92% (

0.01)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

16.51% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75%

46.25% (

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.34% (

-0.01)

45.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

-0.01)

81.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 61.56%

Carrarese 15.84%

Draw 22.58%

Cremonese	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.56%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 5.91% 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.84%