Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
  • Cristian Shpendi 8' goal
  • Cristian Shpendi 23' goal
  • Marco Curto 33' yellowcard
  • Matteo Pisseri 59' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Calo 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riccardo Palmieri 20'
  • goal Nicolas Schiavi 55'

Cesena vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
Cesena 1 - 0 Cremonese
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Cristian Shpendi

Carrarese

All competitions
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mattia Finotto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.

Result

Cesena 57.1% (-0.30)
Draw 24.68% (+0.13)
Carrarese 18.22% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.03% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.52% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 56.48% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 22.52% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 77.48% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 9.82% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 90.18% (+0.10)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 19.72% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 48.27% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 51.73% (+0.32)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 54.84% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 45.16% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 18.94% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 81.06% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Cesena 57.08%
Draw 24.68%
Carrarese 18.22%
Cesena
1-0 @ 14.45% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 57.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.9% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.68%
Carrarese
0-1 @ 7.08% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.57% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.81% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 18.22%