Serie B | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Cesena
2 - 1
Carrarese

Shpendi (8', 23' pen.)
Curto (33'), Pisseri (59'), Calo (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Schiavi (55')
Palmieri (20')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cesena and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Cesena
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

Carrarese

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 3-1 Carrarese
Monday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.

Result
CesenaDrawCarrarese
57.1% (-0.298 -0.3)24.68% (0.122 0.12)18.22% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 44.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52% (-0.194 -0.19)56.48% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52% (-0.155 -0.16)77.48% (0.158 0.16)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.188 -0.19)19.72% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.31 -0.31)51.73% (0.315 0.32)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.84% (0.104 0.1)45.16% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08)81.06% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cesena 57.08%
    Carrarese 18.22%
    Draw 24.68%
CesenaDrawCarrarese
1-0 @ 14.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 57.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 18.22%

rhs 2.0


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