Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%).