Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round

Aug 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Cesena
2 - 2
Virtus Entella

Shpendi (17'), Ciofi (45')
Ciofi (66')

FT
(aet)

Meacci (51', 56')
Parodi (43'), Tomaselli (48')

Cesena win 6-5 on penalties

Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Cesena and Virtus Entella.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

Last Game: Cesena 1-0 Cremonese
Friday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Virtus Entella

Last Game: Pisa 3-2 Virtus Entella
Monday, May 10 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%).

Result
Cesena	Draw	Virtus Entella
40.75% ( 0.14)	27.15% ( -0.02)	32.1% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.76% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48% (

0.03)

55.52% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

0.02)

76.7% (

-0.02)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

0.09)

26.76% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

0.12)

62.04% (

-0.11)

Virtus Entella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

-0.07)

32.06% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

-0.08)

68.53% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Cesena 40.75%

Virtus Entella 32.1%

Draw 27.15%

Cesena	Draw	Virtus Entella
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.75%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.1%