Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Sudtirol
53.72% ( 0.06)	27.26% ( 0)	19.01% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 38.94% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.1% (

-0.06)

63.9% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.88% (

-0.05)

83.11% (

0.05)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-0)

24.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

-0.01)

58.55% (

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.37% (

-0.11)

48.62% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.31% (

-0.08)

83.68% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 53.71%

Sudtirol 19.01%

Draw 27.26%

Carrarese	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 16.69% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 53.71%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.01%