Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Salernitana
39.13% ( -0.04)	27.37% ( 0)	33.5% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94% (

-0.01)

56.06% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

-0.01)

77.14% (

0.01)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-0.03)

27.92% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-0.04)

63.54% (

0.04)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62% (

0.02)

31.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

0.02)

67.75% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 39.12%

Salernitana 33.5%

Draw 27.36%

Sudtirol	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.5%