Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
28.2% ( -1.27)	25.81% ( -0.34)	45.99% ( 1.6)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21% (

0.71)

51.79% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

0.61)

73.56% (

-0.61)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

-0.58)

32.96% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

-0.65)

69.54% (

0.65)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

1.06)

22.49% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

1.55)

56.05% (

-1.55)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 28.2%

Spezia 45.99%

Draw 25.8%

Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.2%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.99%