Coppa Italia | Second Round

Sep 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
3 - 1
Salernitana

Bijol (20'), Lucca (44' pen.), Ekkelenkamp (47')
Davis (77'), Bijol (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Simy (25')
Velthuis (43'), Ruggeri (54'), Tello (79')
Maggiore (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Udinese and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Reggiana 0-0 Salernitana
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Salernitana
50.95% ( 0.82)	23.23% ( -0.2)	25.82% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.64% (

0.37)

42.37% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.23% (

0.37)

64.77% (

-0.37)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.44)

16.73% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.37% (

0.78)

46.64% (

-0.78)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.28)

29.83% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.34)

65.92% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Udinese 50.95%

Salernitana 25.83%

Draw 23.23%

Udinese	Draw	Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.95%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.83%