Coppa Italia
Sep 25, 2024 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Dacia Arena
  • Jaka Bijol 20' goal
  • Lorenzo Lucca 44' goal
  • Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 47' goal
  • Keinan Davis 77' yellowcard
  • Jaka Bijol 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Simy 25'
  • yellowcard Tijs Velthuis 43'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ruggeri 54'
  • yellowcard Andres Tello 79'
  • redcard Giulio Maggiore 90'+7'

Udinese vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Salernitana

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result

Udinese 50.95% (+0.83)
Draw 23.23% (-0.20)
Salernitana 25.82% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.43% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.64% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 42.37% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 35.23% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 64.77% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 18.44% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 81.56% (-0.28)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5 83.28% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 16.73% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 53.37% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 46.64% (-0.78)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 70.17% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 29.83% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 34.09% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 65.92% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Udinese 50.95%
Draw 23.23%
Salernitana 25.83%
Udinese
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.75% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.76% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.48% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.57% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.13% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 50.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.23%
Salernitana
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.83%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Dacia Arena
  • Festy Ebosele 16' yellowcard
  • Martin Payero 36' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Gianetti 47' yellowcard
  • Hassane Kamara 45'+3' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 64' redcard
  • Walace 75' yellowcard
  • goal Loum Tchaouna 10'
  • yellowcard Marco Pellegrino 50'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Erik Botheim 60' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pirola 64' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Bradaric 64' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 72' goal
  • Antonio Candreva 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandi Lovric 49'
  • yellowcard Christian Kabasele 55'
  • goal Lazar Samardzic 57'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 70'
  • yellowcard Walace 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Grigoris Kastanos 43' goal
  • Antonio Candreva 57' goal
  • William Troost-Ekong 90'+6' goal
  • goal Marvin Zeegelaar 25'
  • goal Ilija Nestorovski 30'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dacia Arena
  • Jean-Victor Makengo 29' yellowcard
  • Walace 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nehuen Perez 45'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Federico Bonazzoli 35'
  • yellowcard Domagoj Bradaric 49'
  • yellowcard Dylan Bronn 66'
  • yellowcard Norbert Gyomber 74'
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Vid Belec 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Davide Nicola 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gerard Deulofeu 6'
  • goal Ilija Nestorovski 34'
  • goal Destiny Udogie 42'
  • goal Roberto Pereyra 57'
  • yellowcard Roberto Pereyra 58'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Apr 20, 2022 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mato Jajalo 32' yellowcard
  • Pablo Mari 89' yellowcard
  • Gerard Deulofeu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 56'
  • yellowcard Ederson 84'
  • yellowcard Emil Bohinen 86'
  • yellowcard Grigoris Kastanos 90'+2'
  • goal Simone Verdi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Simone Verdi 90'+5'