Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Francesco Galuppini 46' goal
  • yellowcard Tijs Velthuis 79'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 87'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 87'

Mantova vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Serie B
Last game
Aug 28, 2024 7.30pm
Juve Stabia 1 - 0 Mantova
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Leonardo Mancuso

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2024 7.30pm
Salernitana 3 - 2 Sampdoria
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Simy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.

Result

Mantova 48.98% (+1.03)
Draw 24.03% (-0.12)
Salernitana 26.98% (-0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.78% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.96% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 45.04% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 32.61% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 67.39% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.51% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.49% (+0.08)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 81.52% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 18.48% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 50.31% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 49.69% (-0.62)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% (-0.73)
Under 0.5 30.35% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 33.46% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 66.54% (+0.88)

Score analysis

Mantova 48.98%
Draw 24.03%
Salernitana 26.98%
Mantova
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 8% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.9% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.61% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.03%
Salernitana
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 26.98%