Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.