Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Juve Stabia	Draw	Mantova
36.26% ( -0.87)	26.98% ( 0.1)	36.76% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

-0.4)

54.28% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.33)

75.68% (

0.34)

Juve Stabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-0.71)

28.74% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.89)

64.58% (

0.89)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

0.27)

28.45% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

0.34)

64.21% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Juve Stabia 36.26%

Mantova 36.75%

Draw 26.98%

Juve Stabia	Draw	Mantova
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.26%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.75%