Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassari Torres win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassari Torres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.