Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Reggiana	Draw	Mantova
52.42% ( -1.17)	23.98% ( 0.5)	23.6% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 53.52% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.25% (

-1.45)

47.74% (

1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06% (

-1.36)

69.93% (

1.35)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

-0.98)

18.18% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

-1.69)

49.18% (

1.69)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

-0.2)

34.58% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

-0.22)

71.3% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Reggiana 52.41%

Mantova 23.6%

Draw 23.98%

Reggiana	Draw	Mantova
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.41%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 23.6%