Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
| 37.7% ( | 27.04% ( | 35.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( | 54.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% ( | 75.92% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( | 28.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% ( | 63.69% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( | 29.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( | 65.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.25% |