Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
0 - 2
Bologna

Luis Palomino (39'), Zappa (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Orsolini (35'), Odgaard (51')
Pobega (72'), Fabbian (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Cagliari
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Bologna
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
35.25% ( 0.61)	26.84% ( 0.19)	37.9% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

-0.7)

53.78% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74% (

-0.6)

75.26% (

0.59)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

0.04)

29.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

0.05)

65.04% (

-0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-0.79)

27.54% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

-1.03)

63.05% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 35.25%

Bologna 37.9%

Draw 26.84%

Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.9%