Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
| 33.95% ( | 27.1% ( | 38.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( | 54.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( | 76.22% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( | 30.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( | 27.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( | 62.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0-2 @ 7% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.95% |