Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Oct 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
5 - 1
Genoa

Retegui (24', 50', 74' pen.), Ederson (60'), de Roon (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ekhator (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Shakhtar 0-3 Atalanta
Wednesday, October 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Genoa
57.86% ( 0.25)	23.01% ( -0.11)	19.12% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

0.28)

48.96% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

0.25)

71.05% (

-0.26)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.19)

16.65% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5% (

0.34)

46.49% (

-0.34)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28% (

0.01)

39.71% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.61% (

0.01)

76.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 57.85%

Genoa 19.12%

Draw 23.01%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.12%