Serie A Gameweek 7
Atalanta
Oct 5, 2024 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Genoa
  • Mateo Retegui 24' goal
  • Mateo Retegui 50' goal
  • Ederson 60' goal
  • Mateo Retegui 74' goal
  • Marten de Roon 80' goal
  • goal Jeff Ekhator 83'

Atalanta BC vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Atalanta
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 5.00pm
Genoa 0 - 3 Juventus
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Andrea Pinamonti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 57.86% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 23.01% ▼ (-0.12)
Genoa 19.12% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.03% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 48.96% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 28.95% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 71.05% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 4.5 13.95% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 86.04% ▼ (-0.18)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 83.35% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 16.65% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 53.5% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 46.49% ▼ (-0.34)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 60.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 57.85%
Draw 23.01%
Genoa 19.12%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 57.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.01%
Genoa
0-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.12%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Genoa
Feb 11, 2024 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Atalanta
  • Kevin Strootman 24' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 51' goal
  • Mattia Bani 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Caricol 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 22'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 24'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 32'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 55'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aleksei Miranchuk 90'+7'
  • goal Davide Zappacosta 90'+10'
  • goal El Bilal Toure 90'+13'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Atalanta
Oct 22, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Genoa
  • Ademola Lookman 42' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 53' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 68' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 85' yellowcard
  • Davide Zappacosta 90' yellowcard
  • Ederson 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 56'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bani 90'+7'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Atalanta
Mar 13, 2022 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Genoa
  • Davide Zappacosta 38' yellowcard
  • Rafael Toloi 82' yellowcard
Serie A Gameweek 19
Genoa
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Stefano Sturaro 19' yellowcard
  • Milan Badelj 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Remo Freuler 23'
Serie A Gameweek 37
Genoa
May 15, 2021 2.00pm
3
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Atalanta
  • Eldor Shomurodov 48' goal
  • Goran Pandev 67' goal
  • Eldor Shomurodov 84' goal
  • Nicolo Rovella 88' yellowcard
  • goal Duvan Zapata 9'
  • goal Ruslan Malinovskyi 26'
  • goal Robin Gosens 44'
  • goal Mario Pasalic 51'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 62'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 71'
Serie A Gameweek 18
Atalanta
Jan 17, 2021 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Genoa
  • Robin Gosens 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 72'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 74'

Form Data

Shakhtar 0 - 3 Atalanta
Bologna 1 - 1 Atalanta
Atalanta 2 - 3 Como
Atalanta 0 - 0 Arsenal
Atalanta 3 - 2 Fiorentina
Inter Milan 4 - 0 Atalanta
Genoa 0 - 3 Juventus
Genoa 1 - 1 Sampdoria
Venezia 2 - 0 Genoa
Genoa 1 - 1 Roma
Genoa 0 - 2 Hellas Verona
Monza 0 - 1 Genoa