Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 8, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
3 - 2
Gil Vicente

Schettine (65'), Pinto (70'), Nlavo (87')
Schettine (35'), Pinto (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toure (25'), Aguirre de Cespedes (47')
Gbane (41'), Garcia Gonzalez (45+2'), Mutombo Mawesi (51'), Caue (64'), Toure (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, November 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Boavista
Saturday, November 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Gil Vicente
34.03% ( -0.03)	28.8% ( 0.02)	37.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.82% (

-0.05)

61.18% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.87% (

-0.04)

81.13% (

0.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

-0.05)

33.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

-0.05)

70.31% (

0.06)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39% (

-0.02)

31.61% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

-0.02)

68.01% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 34.03%

Gil Vicente 37.17%

Draw 28.79%

Moreirense	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.17%