Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 19, 2024 at 11am UK

Estadio do Restelo

CF Os Belenenses
0 - 2
Gil Vicente

Cuca (9'), Jorge Tavares Carvalho (81'), Zakaria (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toure (59'), Aguirre de Cespedes (66')
Collado (63')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between CF Os Belenenses and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Os Belenenses

Last Game: CF Os Belenenses 1-2 Torreense
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest CF Os Belenenses win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
CF Os Belenenses	Draw	Gil Vicente
34.31% ( -0.03)	27.58% ( 0)	38.11% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.25% (

-0.02)

56.75% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3% (

-0.02)

77.7% (

0.02)

CF Os Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

-0.03)

31.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

-0.04)

67.53% (

0.04)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16% (

28.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3% (

0.01)

64.7% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

CF Os Belenenses 34.31%

Gil Vicente 38.11%

Draw 27.58%

CF Os Belenenses	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.31%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.11%