Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.