Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Union SG
33.99% ( 0.27)	23.63% ( 0.36)	42.38% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 62.26% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.41% (

-1.66)

39.59% (

1.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.06% (

-1.75)

61.93% (

1.75)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

-0.63)

23.1% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.04% (

-0.93)

56.96% (

0.93)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

-0.94)

19.02% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

-1.59)

50.59% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 33.99%

Union SG 42.38%

Draw 23.62%

Mechelen	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.99%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 42.38%